Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.430078 1.655764 1.904205 2.197817 2.535186 2.910556 3.359779
2025-03-23 1.136492 1.436065 1.794210 2.253302 2.825605 3.514993 4.408063
2025-03-30 0.922094 1.258363 1.690572 2.285391 3.081379 4.108439 5.533095
2025-04-06 0.747661 1.093820 1.568746 2.265427 3.258766 4.621381 6.629773
2025-04-13 0.585576 0.913385 1.390931 2.133625 3.255652 4.882862 7.416889
2025-04-20 0.510189 0.843160 1.355121 2.194229 3.529241 5.563758 8.890878
2025-04-27 0.459729 0.801190 1.352816 2.301345 3.883288 6.405166 10.716141
2025-05-04 0.407294 0.746076 1.319313 2.350175 4.146629 7.132829 12.451605
2025-05-11 0.359615 0.690418 1.275080 2.371656 4.362838 7.804576 14.173933
2025-05-18 0.307404 0.617453 1.188833 2.304561 4.411686 8.191961 15.447260
2025-05-25 0.258092 0.541454 1.085068 2.188410 4.351955 8.373845 16.365400
2025-06-01 0.228936 0.500200 1.040471 2.177177 4.485286 8.919449 18.017439
2025-06-08 0.197471 0.450011 0.972869 2.114567 4.517670 9.293208 19.419692
2025-06-15 0.186931 0.442882 0.992075 2.232971 4.932509 10.466005 22.558536
2025-06-22 0.173352 0.426717 0.989762 2.305278 5.261004 11.505660 25.558748
2025-06-29 0.156193 0.399326 0.958707 2.309612 5.442938 12.262712 28.058926
2025-07-06 0.132958 0.353260 0.878260 2.189302 5.329455 12.372178 29.165150
2025-07-13 0.124531 0.342616 0.879143 2.260122 5.665012 13.510437 32.711799
2025-07-20 0.119325 0.339398 0.897476 2.375838 6.122431 14.978796 37.195980
2025-07-27 0.111263 0.327155 0.891419 2.429570 6.435617 16.148529 41.117462
2025-08-03 0.102604 0.311744 0.874879 2.453799 6.677838 17.177179 44.821828
2025-08-10 0.090950 0.285707 0.826218 2.385644 6.672451 17.599196 47.073469
2025-08-17 0.078762 0.255838 0.762390 2.266208 6.513815 17.615408 48.290897